AQs vs AKs Odds
A♣Q♣
AQs
A♥K♥
AKs
26.6%
AQs wins
4.1%
Tie
69.3%
AKs wins
50,000-trial Monte Carlo simulation, preflop all-in equity
Why this matchup plays the way it does
Both hands share the ace, which removes two of the four aces from the deck and sharply reduces how often either side pairs up — this is a domination spot (AK 'has AQ's kicker beat') more than a coinflip, and the shared ace is exactly why it plays so differently from AQs vs KQs.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of AQs vs AKs?
- AQs wins 26.6% of the time, ties 4.1%, and loses 69.3% against AKs, based on a 50,000-trial Monte Carlo simulation dealt out to the river.
- Is this preflop or postflop equity?
- This is preflop all-in equity — both hands are dealt out to a random river with no further betting decisions. It's the standard number quoted for 'X vs Y odds' searches.
- Why might my actual result differ?
- This number assumes both hands go to showdown with no more folding. In a real hand with betting on each street, the player with worse preflop equity can still win more often than this number suggests by folding when behind, or less often by continuing when they shouldn't.