22 vs AKs Odds
2♣2♦
22
A♥K♥
AKs
49.5%
22 wins
0.7%
Tie
49.9%
AKs wins
50,000-trial Monte Carlo simulation, preflop all-in equity
Why this matchup plays the way it does
The smallest possible pocket pair against the strongest possible non-pair hand — 22 needs to flop a set or better almost every time to win, since it has zero overcard equity and AKs has two live overcards plus a flush draw.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of 22 vs AKs?
- 22 wins 49.5% of the time, ties 0.7%, and loses 49.9% against AKs, based on a 50,000-trial Monte Carlo simulation dealt out to the river.
- Is this preflop or postflop equity?
- This is preflop all-in equity — both hands are dealt out to a random river with no further betting decisions. It's the standard number quoted for 'X vs Y odds' searches.
- Why might my actual result differ?
- This number assumes both hands go to showdown with no more folding. In a real hand with betting on each street, the player with worse preflop equity can still win more often than this number suggests by folding when behind, or less often by continuing when they shouldn't.